| Ryng_Tolu said:
But if i can, Wii U is still undertracked in Europe, and even US seem too low. Tomorrow NPD will be interesting. |
| cycycychris said: I think the Wii U is undertracked this week and I think its been undertracked in Europe for a while. Hopefully NPD shows it is undertracked atleast in the US. Glad to see some adjustments though! |
Are you two basing this off some particular information? I haven't really been keeping up with it lately, so maybe there was some European hardware sales that I missed.
At least as of the end of 2014, European sales seemed fine if not a little overtracked. Nintendo had shipped 2.46m to Other. VGC had tracked 2.096m in Europe, and as of March 21st has Rest of World at 590k. This week Rest of World made up 7% of the weekly hardware sales. It is 6.3% for lifetime hardware sales, so that seems like a decent percentage to use to determine the sales for this year. The Wii U is at 458k for the year, so at 7% that would put RoW sales at 32k. That means, at the end of 2014 RoW lifetime sales were 558k.
So that puts VGC Europe+RoW at 2,654k at the end of 2014. That is 194k above what Nintendo shipped to "Other". The one difference is Nintendo lumps the Americas together while I believe VGC includes at least South America in RoW. That means South America would need to be a pretty large portion of those RoW sales for the Wii U to not be overtracked. Probably at least 300k (so 54% of RoW sales. Is that realistic? I don't really know how the Wii U sells in the middle east or SE Asia or South America.) for there to be a decent amount on shelves in Europe/Asia/Africa/Australia/etc. Japan for instance had over 130k left on shelves at the end of 2014. Europe+RoW has sold roughly the same lifetime, but it is spread over a much larger territory with presumably many more stores. It is probably reasonable to expect more units to be on shelves there than in Japan.
So, based on that, it is likely the Wii U is at least somewhat overtracked in Europe or RoW as of the end of 2014. What that means for 2015 though is unclear. It is certainly possible that lifetime sales were overtracked back at the start of the year, but weekly sales have been undertracked in 2015.
EDIT: The one piece of sales data I have found for Europe that came out (sort of) recently is 515k lifetime for the Wii U in France at the end of 2014. That would make it about 35k overtracked on VGC. However, again, this doesn't give us info on 2015 weekly sales.
