PS4 Sales Timeline 2015

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Puppyroach said:

binary solo said:

To have a 20 million year in 2016 PS4 only needs to grow by 40% over 2 years for one of those year to be a 20 million year. Peaking in the 3rd year is pretty much as common as peaking in the 2nd year. So a 20 million year is very much on the cards, in fact it is more likely than not.

I am quite confident it will stay flat or actually drop next year, while X1 will stay flat or have a small growth.

There will either be a $50 cut this year and another one next year, or there will be a $100 cut this year. Either way there will be growth 2 years running which makes a 20 million year very likely. PS4's peak year will be the full year is sells at $299, that will either be 2016 or 2017. One of those years will probably be a 20 million year. When the first full year sells >14 million a 20 million year is inevitable unless something goes horribly wrong. If you think something will go horribly wrong you should say what you think it will be.