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Materia-Blade on 09 April 2015
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binary solo said:
Materia-Blade said:

You can't tell how big or small xenoblade's legs will be. But it is a highly anticipated title and has a bundle, meaning the current wii u sales are suffering because of it. Besides, splatoon (and yoshi, I think) will release soon after it, so there won't be a drought for at least some months = much bigger baseline than binary is expecting. Also, hoping for a 16k baseline for ps4 may be too much.

Wii U sales have been suffering since mid January because of the XCX bundle which comes out at the end of this month? Xenoblade on Wii sold ~160K, even if XCX doubles that that level of sales does not sustain a significantly elevated baseline very long.

Nintendo fans are putting too much stock in Splatoon. It may have the effect you want, but new IP rarely does that sort of thing. I've no idea what Yoshi will do.

As for PS4, so far this year it hasn't spent much time below 16K so after the recent software releases it's a reasonable level of sales to anticipate.

Wii U is selling low because of lack of releases, but the xenoblade bundle is also hurting it. It will probably sell much more than you think but it doesn't have to sustain sales on it's own. As I said, there are other releases soon after it.

Ps4 hasn't spent much time below 16k because it had lot's of releases recently and had the DQ heroes anticipation. We have to wait untill it stabilizes.