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Yeah, that's very likely. I made some projections awhile ago that pretty much agree with your thesis.

Imnus said:

Right now I think it's possible to make a pretty accurate estimate of the PS4 LTD Sales with some pretty basic math, I looked at trends from past consoles and I arrived at this:

PS4
Launch (2013)
Year 1 (2014) Year 2 (2015) Year 3 (2016)  Year 4 (2017) Year 5 (2018) Year 6 (2019) Year 7 (2020) Year 8 (2021) Year 9 (2022) Year 10 (2023)
YTD 4M 14M 17M 21M 20M 17M 15M 12M 8M 7M 5M
LTD 4M 18M 35M 56M 76M 93M 108M 120M 128M 135M 140M

10 Years LTD Sales
140M

6 Years LTD Sales (Next-Gen Launches on 2019)
108M

5 Years LTD Sales (Next-Gen Launches on 2018)
93M