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Areym said:
curl-6 said:

To be fair, so were Wii Sports, Bravely Default, Youkai Watch, Tomodachi Life, Nintendogs...

To be fair, the Wii, NDS and 3ds didn't tank like the Wii u. And Wii sports was bundled with every wii.

Pikmin did over a mil on it's GC debut.  Did it twice on that platform, as a matter of fact.  Install base effects sales obviously, but it doesn't just scale all sales down by some arbitrary percentage.  Metroid Prime 1 sold more than Metroid Prime 3, Prime Trilogy, or Metroid Other M despite all of those being on a larger install base.  Far larger.

I would say that the majority (though not all) new IP from Nintendo do well at least on their debut.  As such, I think 1mil is fairly easy for Splatoon.