PS3 overtaking the (Dead) 360 Anytime soon? Not really...

[Ail]

Viper1 said:

tombi123 said:

gebx said:

masterb8tr said:
hmm according to my calculations its 66 weeks not 3 years. As the ps3 has more AAA games this year, its very likely that it will get a boost in sales. I did some calculations based on the vgchartz from april the 5th. So the numbers are a bit off.

So if we estimate the ps3 to sell around 186 000 per week and total sales is 11.6mill

And the 360 to sell around 134 000 and total sales is 18.1

186 000/(11.6 *10^6)= 0.015

134000/(18.1*10^6)=0.0075

1.015^x*11.6*10^6=1.0075^x*18.1*10^6

(1.015^x)/(1.0075^x)=(18.1*10^6)/(11.6*10^6)

1.0079^x=1.56034

(log 1.56034)/(log 1.0079)= ca 63-64 weeks

unless i did some mistakes

WTF? This is simple grade school math... or am I missing something?

186,000/week - PS3

134,000/week - 360

52,000/week - Difference

6,440,000 - LTD difference between PS3 and 360

6,440,000/52,000 per week  = 123 Weeks

 Are you being stupid on purpose? 

What do you mean?   Gebx is correct.

 

He is indeed correct, it's not PhD level maths............

We are week 17.

If you take at face value my saying that the holdays are like an extra 14 regular week in a year ( do the maths for last years, it's pretty close).

That leaves 49 weeks for this year and 66 weeks for 2009.

So by January 1st 2010 the PS3 would be 460k units behind the 360 and would catch it sometime in March 2010.

Some of us are assuming the gap between the 2 will increase slightly in 2009 and it will actually catch up with it at the end of 2009, not such a big stretch....