You're twisting my argument. I said that Gears wouldn't move as many consoles as MGS. The shooter segment of the 360 is pretty saturated.
But in a holiday season with another price drop, a November Gears of War 2 will move consoles. There are a lot of other factors than just the game itself. Time of year, marketing, price at release, etc. will all factor in for Gears.

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