MkWii will have very nice Legs, but not as good as other MK games... Why? Because it started out faster, it is getting a larger % of its sales in Month one.
In Japan I expect
600-200-150-180-70-50-45-38-32-25-15- then sell at about 8k a week for some time, then get a holiday boost(Like Wario Ware and MP8 did in Japan last year). If MK trends like I have it it will be arounf 1400k before it settles into its longterm legs. It may or may not make a run at 2 million in Japan.
But, if thesource was right, and MKWii is having supply problems, then legs could be better. Especialy if they get plenty of supply for golden week.
In Europe it will be 550-420-300-250-175-145-135-130-120-120-110, MK will stay above 100k for a good while out in Europe and have similar legs to M&S.
I have no Idea about US. I think will open aroun 600k, and have a medium drop, then settle around 80k for a few months.
This baby will be around 7 million heading into its first holiday season. (where it will sell 2 million more WW)... it should cross 10 million by its first birthday, then continue to sell this entire generation(20k a week WW or so) and end up around 15 million(or more).
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
