So Handheld Has No Future? GBA vs DS vs 3DS Analysis (Franchise Sales Comparison)

[zorg1000]

torok said:

zorg1000 said:

But at the same time, there is no proof or data that shows their handhelds will continue to decline. Yes, a 20-30% decline is possible but so is 20-30% increase.

Of course, but it doesn't seem very likely. However, if someone manages to have an idea that makes a handheld more competitive with smart devices, it can be a hit.

The current handhelds can't compete. They need a new idea or they will suffer a bigger contraction.

Well like in my previous response to u, it shows that in terms of Nintendo total hardware & software per generation, there is a baseline of about 100 million & 500 million. This generation will be down about 20% on both fronts with 100% of that decline coming in America. Japan & Others on the other hand are going to sell exactly what is expected from them based on previous generations.

This generation will be about 30 million, down from 50 million in America or a 40% decline. I also pointed out how on average and adjusted for inflation, it's costs about 40% more to own both pieces of Nintendo hardware now than it did from the mid 80's-mid 00's. When a large part of ur target demographic is American children, price is likely a big issue.

Of course phones/tablets are serious competition but the decline could just as easily be do to Nintendo's own decisions, not necessarily because of what others are doing. If Nintendo once again releases more affordable hardware along with better advertising/marketing (3DS & Wii U were both originally thought to be revisions to DS/Wii, not full blown successors) then I believe Nintendo has a high chance of getting back to their 50 million or so baseline in America.