Shadow1980 said:
Because last gen was abnormally protracted. The PS3 and 360 didn't peak until 2011, most likely due to a certain other non-standard system depressing the sales of the other two. Five years is the average gap, and there's nothing that would cause the PS4 and XBO to peak until 2019-ish, thus causes this generation to be protracted. The PS4 will likely peak either this year or next year, depending on when this year it gets a price cut and how big the cut is, while the XBO's peak might be tougher to pin down (it could stay relatively flat through 2016 with no real peak, or could have a modest peak in 2016 with a cut to, say, $250). But once sales are a couple of years past their peak, I think we'll start getting the first news on next-gen systems, and I doubt they'll be out any later than 2019. There's nothing to suggest that the situation last gen is the new normal. |
last gen 360 lasted 8yrs b4 successor
ps3 6.5-7 (eu delay launch)
if there out in 2019 thats 6yrs i believe this gen will be about the same lenght as last 7yrs. i think slower game development is a sign of a longer gen we are seeing way to many games delayed and missing in action ei. grand turismo aswell as alot of remasters to fill in until the next gen really arrives and alot of the big games out now are cross gen like gta and cod i believe theres alot of life left in these consoles with proper current gen only versions of the big game like gta and cod and even other new ips that havent released at this point in time
your price cut theory can be shattered if no console this yr gets cut and 399 349 and 299 ride out longer, similar to last gen as many were waiting for ps3 to go to 299 then 199 which happened yrs later then prophisized
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