It may very well be, especially with the genral trend of harsher reviews this gen. The one that I see as most likely to break your prediction is UC4 though.
On a completely unrelated note, I expect the entries in these main franchises to be of just as high quality as the previous, so meta isn't too important here. The games will deffinitely be good, a 85 meta or a 95 meta doesn't really change that.