Do you guys honestly believe Nintendo could succeed if they made a clone of the other consoles? The only reason they're alive today (in the console business) is because they took risks with innovative hardware and make profits on said hardware. The GameCube shows that Nintendo, for some reason, can't compete if their console is just another competitor with its own exclusives. It was cheaper than the PS2, and more powerful. Nintendo still didn't get the user-base and third party support of the PS2. Sure, having third parties on board would be helpful, but the costs involved to get third parties are more than "making powerful and comparable hardware." I honestly don't believe third parties will come in such a situation, alone. Nintendo would also have to pay publishing costs, have licensing deals, so on and so on.
Nintendo's mistake this generation was principally deviating from their principles to try to please third-parties, while not deviating enough in order to please the new market expanded in the past. But anyway, manufacturers have been innovating from the NES, and Nintendo has been one of the key companies in such innovations. I don't see "surprises" as a bad thing. One of the boring things about this generation for the "almost- fullHD" consoles, is that they are not surprising. They are closed platform gaming PC's (and under-powered for that purpose at that.)
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