NJ5 said:
2009 games don't matter for a prediction regarding 2008 only. I admit that my prediction is not certain, but it's plausible. The biggest unknown is Nintendo's intentions regarding Wii production, hopefully we'll know those in two days (fiscal report). At that point, it will become much clearer whether the Wii can achieve 50% market-share in 2008 or not. The second biggest unknown is whether Wii Fit will be a big system-seller in Europe and USA.
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I agree that it is more about Nintendo supply than games. There may be a way for Wii to reach 50% this year if Nintendo doesn't increase production but it seems more likely to happen if Nintendo increases production.
About Wii Fit, it doesn't need to be a system seller in America, there is huge demand. However, I agree about Wii Fit and Europe.
BTW, from what we know of the games coming after May, 360 and PS3 have better games coming out then Wii (at least in America).
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