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Mythmaker1 said:
zorg1000 said:

Well isn't the general perception around here that Wii/DS were casual flukes and wouldn't be replicated no matter what? If thats the case then wasn't a massive decline inevitable and the generations before that is what we should compare it to? G&W+NES, GB(thru 96)+SNES, GB(beyond 96)+N64, GBA+GC all sold a little over 100 million, 3DS+Wii U are on track to sell 80-90 million so not the huge decline that many people make it out to be.

True. But given mounting competition from the mobile space, I think a 15-20% decrease from this gen to the next is a safe bet. After that, I think it just comes down to execution and proper support, something I don't see Nintendo nailing, if recent history is any indication.

Considering how little we actually know (such as whether what we're discussing will ever actually exist), it's all just conjecture.


15-20% drop is a much more reasonable prediction than the 50%+ drop u said earlier.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.