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NJ5 said:
You ain't seen nothing yet. It's easy to think that PS360's blockbusters will keep the Wii from reaching 50%, but check this out:

- Korean launch soon (and China later)
- Japanese golden week
- increased production level which will probably be announced soon
- Wii Fit which has the potential to be a system seller
- stockpiles being released in the holidays

You bet your ass 50% will happen this year.

Exactly. 

And GTAIV, MGS4, <snip>, <snip>, Gears 2, Halo Wars, Fable 2, Resistance 2, Killzone 2, LBP, <snip>, etc.  Will all be delayed indefinitely, and never come out, whilst the PS3 and 360 don't ever sell again.

How much are you expecting for the Korean launch?  Millions?  Billions?

The fact is that the Wii would have to continuously outsell the PlayStation 3 and the XBOX 360 combine for many many weeks for it to reach 50 %.  It's going to go down this week, with the GTAIV launch.

Edited for... nevermind.