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I dont think they will make only 1 mk game the entire generation.
I still think they will keep the smash bros strategy, but deeply. One game for each console, conectivity between versions, but each with exclusive content. And more content for those who buy both.

also, i think pokemon will keep handheld exclusive. But if you have both consoles, you can play on TV.
The big 3D Zelda will be console exclusive, but you can play remotelly if you have the handheld too.