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Both consoles have a pretty impressive line-up for this fall and winter (although I agree with rocketpig in that Sony's isn't as diverse as some make it out to be). But to answer the original post's question, Gears of War 2 may outperform the original in terms of lifetime sales, but I doubt it will move that many new consoles. the folks who are into that sort of game, i.e. the visually gorgeous shooters, probably already have a 360. If that genre is really your thing, the 360's already given you plenty of incentive to jump on board, starting with the first Gears of War. If consumers haven't bitten yet, I doubt a whole lot will with Gears 2's release.