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MS wins holiday games lineup easily now. Sure, PS4 will still sell powered by multiplats, but people with no preference not hung up on small resolution differences will surely have more motive to pick up XOne along with three AAA blockbusters this fall.
Sony needs to invent a AAA game quickly, or the October-December NPDs will be a bloodbath (PS4 will win WW, of course).

 

As for TR, sure, in hindsight MS could have saved some money, and Square Enix could have cleaned up nicely with a holiday PS4 version. But, Tomb Raider will still sell decently, only now I expect a PS4 version in September 2016.