Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - Feb 23 - March 1

[binary solo]

zorg1000 said:

binary solo said:
Holy Crap. DQH sells to almost 1/3 of the PS4 install base on the opening week. That's crazy man. I wonder if Square is paying attention and if they will put an actual DQ game on PS4. It's pretty hard to go past an 18 million install base and put a game on a 1 million install base. But if they can expect a 30% attach rate then once PS4 gets to 3 or 4 million in Japan it's a pretty good bet.

How do MC and Famitsu have such a huge discrepancy with 3DS? Does Famitsu only track N3DS?

If DQH had been PS4 only I'm sure PS4 would have pushed a lot more hardware. But game sales-wise it was smart to make it cross gen. ~600K first week is huge.

A 30% attach rate on an install base of 3-4 million would be horrible for a mainline Dragon Quest since they typically sell 3-4 million.

Assuming DQ has legs, It is probably safe to assume that if DX X(?) was released on PS4 when it was at 3 or 4 million install base it would continue selling as the PS4 install base grew and by the time PS4 got to 8 or 9 million the game would have sold 3 million or so.  But my point was that with a 3-4 million install base it;s possible for a DQ game to do 1 million for the opening week, which would make it a worthwhile prospect.

But maybe SE's strategy is for DQH to get PS4 owners interested (or re-interested) in the franchise so that the next 3DS version will sell even better. Ultimately SE shouldn't care what platform DQ comes out on, as long as it sells well. Sony can put forward a case for DQ to make a jump to PS4, on the basis of DQH success. But whether or not it's a strong enough case to convince SE to actually do it is a different matter.