PlayStation 4 hits 20.2 million units sold worldwide

[binary solo]

TheGoldenBoy said:

binary solo said:

No it isn't. Current sales are 19.4M as of 14 Feb.

The Order should boost PS4 sales for 20 Feb close to 200K. So that puts PS4 at ~19.6M

Sales for 28 Feb should drop to about 150K. So that puts PS4 at 19.75M. Making VGC probaby ~450-475K behind. Or a little over 2% undertracked. And that is not too bad given VGC probably only directly tracks sales in 1/4 of those 123 countries. I give VGC's current PS4 tracking a B+.

Quite surprised at Sony announcing a 1 March sales figure. It will be nearly 2 months before we get the annual report, and no doubt there will be a LTD shipments number in there. That should be over 22 million, because in March PS4 should be very close to 21 million sell through.

So does that mean the 'PS4 won't go below 180K in 2015' prediction thread is still alive? 

But they adjusted their numbers to 18.5 million after Sony's last announcement. And if your calculations are correct they'll have said the PS4 sold 1.25 million consoles compared to 1.7 million. That's like over 26% undertracked for two months right?

Well yes, for the 2 months to the end of March that is highly under tracked. But so long as LTD remains within 3% I'm happy. That's what regular adjustments are for. And when LTD is within 3% it means the historical weekly sales are pretty reasonable. Sales for recent weeks will always have a large error margin, especially while ioi is trying to get to grips with a new generation that has turned the last generation on its head.

Before now the real validity check was hardware shipments. Sony has been kind enough to give us sell through reports on a reasonably regular basis. Because when you are dominating like this, why not? Probably the most undertracked console so far is the 360, and despite all the pissing and moaning coming out from some people about 360 undertrackedness, the 360's LTD is still likely to be within 3% of actual. The pissing and moaning is only happening because PS3 and 360 are so close that such a small undertrack could be the difference between 2nd and 3rd place. If not for wanting to claim that bragging right no one would care. So care not about the week to week situation. Mostly keep a weather eye on the LTD.