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bigtakilla on 02 March 2015
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Soundwave said:
bigtakilla said:

I agree that it will be hard. But the new Legend Of Zelda seems to be turning a lot of peoples heads, as well as Xenoblade Chronicles X. They still have some massive games in the pipeline that may not sell in droves as much as Smash or Kart, but will be MORE appealing to gamers (and I think has the potential to push out more consoles as people who own a Wii U buy Kart, but people will buy a console for LOZ). This is where I think they have to potential to sell more systems than the GC. True the GC had Prime (which Metroid is an enigma as not being a major franchise) and Melee (the only game I think that really stands on its own as being a must have game that was hyped as well as stands the test of time), but other games that would later be regarded as gems were met initially with a LOT of hatred. Sunshine and Windwaker anyone? Even Twilight Princess sold massively better on the Wii, due to it being a cross released game. People were just not interested in the GC. 

A cartoony Zelda isn't going to sell consoles. Not sure even a TP style one would ... it's a really freaking old franchise, I think we need to understand a lot of the kids driving console adoption right now grew up with a PS2, not an NES or SNES. Times they are a changing. 

Xenoblade X looks great don't get me wrong, but I don't see it as anything other than this year's Bayonetta 2 -- a game that gets a ton of hype/praise on message boards but doesn't do jack all in sales. I expect to sell basically the same as Bayo 2 as well. 

The problem with that style of game is that Nintendo lost the fanbase that would be interested in such a game years ago now. That went after the N64 days really, the Nintendo fans that stuck around are hardcore Mario/Zelda fanatics, but they're not into the wider variety content like Xenoblade or Bayonetta. Devil's Third will be a full on flop too. 

Can't sell content like that on a Nintendo console. 

Zelda is still one of the biggest action Adventure games of all time, and I think it being open world brings a lot more appeal to the game than its cartoony style takes away from it. 

Xenoblade X is kind of the Wild Card. It could flop horribly, or it could sell crazy amounts. The quality of the game should mean the latter, while jrpgs being niche as well as the lack of people actually owning the game hints to the former. It will be interesting to see this release. 

You're basing potential interest on the "style of game" a little to much I think. While I see the potential to broaden the userbase by appealing to more people. I don't think first week, or even first month sales are going to be astronomical, but lifetime could surprise a few people.