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Materia-Blade on 28 February 2015
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JustBeingReal said:
Materia-Blade said:

Wii U sold 1.5 million in 57 weeks, ps4 will end up between 1.150 and 1.200m in the same period.

You say wii u only sold 600k over the last year? so did ps4, if you remove the launch week numbers.

No, ps4 won't sell double of last year, maybe slightly more (700-900k), meaning nowhere near 3.4m.

Your final paragraph is the most impossible thing from your post, though. Ps4 should consider itself lucky if sales pick up enough steam to reach 5m ltd.

 

Technically Wii U sold 1.6M in it's first 57 weeks, but PS4 hasn't been on sale in Japan for 57 weeks, it came out on the 22nd of Feb over there, so it's currently had 51 weeks and 6 days, we only have VG Chartz numbers for 51 weeks and it's already at 1.1M. Like it or not the PS4's launch numbers count, but even if we deduct the launch week, it still sold 800K across 50 weeks, so 200K more than Wii U did last year, with PS4 having no big Japanese focused releases, in the next few weeks that's all set to change, leading up to the 57th week of release, PS4 has quite a few Japanese focused releases, like Bloodborne, Dragon Ball, Dynasty Warriors, Resident Evil Revelations 2, Final Fantasy Type O, Bladestorm, the combined effect of all of that will not cause sales to skyrocket in Japan, if you think that's not.

 

Later this year there's a lot more big Japanese focused games, I can list them, but we all know what they are, yes PS4 will easily sell double the consoles in it's second year on the market in Japan, compared to the 1st. 3.4M is going to be easy for PS4 by the end of 2015, let alone by Feb 22nd 2016. it's actually way more likely that PS4 will hit 4 by that time next year, especially with all of the games coming out over there.

PS4 will destroy PS3's numbers when it actually has games the Japanese market wants, the system only selling 5M in it's life over there is not happening, not when it sells over a million in it's 1st year, with basically no games for that market.

 

The first year of releases in Japan were not great at all, this year is very different and we haven't been told everything that's coming yet, there's also the very likely matter of a price cut happening, which would have an enormous effect in Japan on just how many units the system will sell.

"it still sold 800K across 50 weeks, so 200K more than Wii U did last year"

It will have sold around 1.2-1.3m in 57 weeks, 300-400k less than wii u in the same period. It's also bellow ps3.

You can say the same about wii u not having many japan centric games. It has a few big-huge games and that's why it is so ahead of ps4 (ltd and aligned). Wii U also has prospects for selling better than last year, depending on how well it's big 2015 titles are received.

No need to discuss the rest. You are severely overestimating ps4 2015 and ltd sales for japan.