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I'm not that good also at predicting sales, but I think somehow OP manages to be worse than me ;)

Zelda: agree with OP, between 2,5 and 3Mil
XCX: 2Mil+ is waaaay high. Being a niche game I'd say 1Mil would be nice, 1,5mil would be great
Star Fox; honestly I don't have a clue
Splatoon: most people on this thread say 1Mil is too much but I'm with OP na go even further. I think it will be a hit if properly advertised, and since Nintendo apparently is going to push it, I'd go as high as 1,5-2Mil
Devil's Thid: agree with OP, will sell better than mos antecipate, between 500k and 750k

The rest I pretty much agree with, or than have a clue.

Cheers