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tak13 said:
zorg1000 said:

It's not pulling a Sega. A Spring 2016 or Spring 2017 launch of the next handheld gives 3DS a 5-6 year life and a Holiday 2016 or Holiday 2017 launch of the next console gives Wii U a 4-5 year life.

3DS has been declining since before New 3DS was even announced, I believe something like 50% down in Japan and 30% in USA, Europe probably similar to USA.

By the end of 2016, Wii U owners should be satisfied, Nintendo will have provided dozens of high quality exclusives by that point.

A couple comments from Iwata also basically confirm we will see new hardware by the end of 2016. Back in May 2014, he said they would redefine gaming in about 2 years and he also said they will return to Nintendo like profits of 100 billion yen in the fiscal year ending March 2017. What could those quotes possibly be hinting at?

Yeah because two years and a half passed since the last revision which was 3DSXL and 3DS was badly needing a revision in early 2014,then with the announcement of New3ds/xl in Japan the decline became way bigger than it would  be without this announcement,2015 will be bigger for 3DS than 2014 was and I seriously can get why you can't realize it!You should...

I think New 3DS in 2015 will have a similar affect that DSi did in 2009.

Total DS shipments 2008=31.84m

Total DS shipments 2009=28.91m

Down roughly 10% YoY

Nintendo shipped 7.67m 3DS in calender year 2014, if shipments are down 10% like DS were in 2009 than it would be around 6.9m in 2015.

So roughly 7-7.5 million for 3DS and 3-3.5 million for Wii U puts it around 10-11 million next year.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.