Mummelmann said:
Aerys said:
Mummelmann said:
I've maintained all along that no 8th gen home console will sell 10 million in Japan; so obviously less than that. 8.5-9 million is my guess, it's currently sitting at around one million after almost one year in Japan and regardless of which games come out for it, I don't see it doing very well.
Most games on home consoles are very western centric, the Japanese home console market has deflated completely and the 8th gen will be shorter than the 7th gen by far.
Heck; you know what? The PS3 has just now barely crawled past the 10 million mark in Japan since its release in November 2006, the PS3 did a lot better from the start (about 20% more in its first CY, and the PS4 even had the benefit of a large first week launch week in February) and released in a kinder environment and sold quite well despite the Wii lighting the charts on fire. There is simply no way the PS4 will sell 10 million units in Japan; people are getting too hyped by global numbers and the pace it set in 2014 and are simply forgetting that Japan is fast becoming irrelevant.
Final Fantasy, Gran Turismo, Metal Gear Solid and the usual suspects will cause good spikes but overall the PS4 will not do very well in Japan, nor will any other home console in the 8th gen.
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You forget 3 things : KH3, FFXV, DQ ( yes it will be announced ) , PS3 hadnt that and it will change a lot
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At best; that could bring the PS4 up to PS3 levels of sales performance, and with the shorter generation that would still leave it short of 10 million. There really isn't that much to support the notion of 10 million lifetime or more, regardless of games. Japan has become a wasteland for home consoles and that won't change any time soon.
I didn't forget anything; I'm simply seeing the lack of enthusiasm for dedicated devices in the Japanese market. If the 3DS is slumping with all the amazing software it has gotten and even a revision; there is nothing to support any view of the PS4 somehow faring better than the PS3.
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if the ps4 does reach 10 million, does that still mean that home consoles are dead in Japan? 10 million is not too shabby.
