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I think it'll explode there this year. I'd say 15m

More than PS3 but definitely not as much as FC/SFC/PS or the mighty PS2.

What are the generation totals in Japan? Wii/PS3 and 360 were about 25m? PS2/GCN/DC and XB about 30m? PS/N64 and Sat somewhere inbetween?

I think PS4/WiiU and Xone can hit 20m combined.