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alex.clair said:

we know by sony pr and financial results, that ps3 shipments as of end december 2014 are below 86,7m

they announced 80m shipped on 2nd november 2013.
that quarter (october - december) they shipped 3.3m ps3


going with 86.3m ps3 is the ABSOLUT HIGHEST possible figure, because it would mean sony only shipped 400k units in october 2013 to meet the increasing holiday demand.
but everyone knows, u have to ship early, to get ur consoles over sea, in warehouse and store shelfs
and if people talks about ms shipmets, they also talk about frondloaded ones (remeber the nearly 10m figure - they "already shipped christmas inventory"). that also applies to sony

if u want to go on the safe side
84.4 - 86.4m is the range
a more realistic one would be
84.9 - 85.9m



no we go with xb360 numbers
from ms earing reports, we know they shipped 83.7m until end of march 2013
that leaves 3 full quarter of combined xbox shipments

ms shipped 79.4m xb360 until end of september 2013
they announced the 80m goal mid october.
that gives u an idea on how much of that holiday quarter shipmetns already apper in october.


cy2013q4 ms shipped 0.2m more xb360 than sony ps3
cy2014q1 ms shipped 0.1m more xb360 than sony ps3
cy2014q2 sony shipped 0.8m ps3
cy2014q3 sony shipped 0.8m ps3
cy2014q4 sony shipped 1.1m ps3


they were at 80m before sony
they shipped 0.2m more than sony in the holiday quarter
they shipped 0.1m more than sony in the first quarter of 2014

so nothing indicates, this changed, and that they shipped less than sonys 2.7m for the last three quarter in 2014
to be behind sony, they have to ship a maximum of 2.3m for q2-q4 2014 and that would result in 12.9m lifetime shipments for xbox one


and all this number being in sonys favour of only a low amount of that 3.3m holiday quarter shipment happend in october already.

 

 

tl;dr
op is wrong

Unfortunately your numbers as well as your assumptions are wrong. To begin with the PS3 could have been as high as 87.2m not 86.7m.

Also for countless years the 360 has outsold the PS3 in the oct-dec quarter and sometimes slightly outsold the PS3 in the jan-mar quarter, but then it's heavily lost during the other two quarters of the year so much that overall for the year the PS3 outsold the 360 and this has happened for the past 5 years in a row.

So when the 360 has slighlty outsold the ps3 during the quarters of the year it normally wins, to then go on and say that must mean it's also outsold the ps3 during the quarters it doesn't normally win is an asinine assumption.