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theprof00 on 30 January 2015
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vivster said:
theprof00 said:
vivster said:
theprof00 said:

Your avatar is on the line. Don't be fooled. I made this bet because it seems impossible. But it's actually kind of doable.

Don't confuse "doable" with "theoretically possible". Would be awesome if it did but I'm still very pessimistic about the whole gen in general.

It seems kinda unreal and actually I'm seeing PS4 barely at 2:1 weekly.

Again, average weeks is misleading. ps4 is very capable of 200k per week..

ok look, here's just a small breakdown, because now I want that avatar.

last year, ps4 sold 65% of it's total sales over a 42 week period starting january.
And almost 47% by September 1st.

Over the same time it took x1 42 weeks to hit 45% of sales. 55% of sales in the last 10 weeks, and only 2.2m by sept.1 out of 8m....barely 26%

Looking at the numbers for the year:
If ps4 does 18m, then we'll see somewhere around 8m by sept 1.
Same for x1 at say 8m, and we'll see 2m

This would put numbers at sept 1 at 26.8m ps4 and 13.1m x1...even if ps4 sells a full million less (on course for under 15m YTD) it will be close.

I am expecting a ps4 price drop at e3 or even in march, alongside bloodborne.

Chinese national release
Price drop
Big first party releases

How bout this. If I win, I get your avatar for life or until I decide to give it back to you.

The mistake you are making is you're predicting a boost for PS4 while pretending X1 will stay flat. Sure, there is no Titanfall this year but overall the base will be higher, which will make up for the big sellers.

I never bet everything, no matter how sure I am about things.

Let's make it a gentlemen's agreement. If your prediction is correct I will choose myself an Avatar in honor of your mad preduction skillz, or maybe just something in my sig if I can't find something nice. If you lose, you may choose a way to atone in a way you see fit.

You're right, that is what I'm predicting...and it's no mistake.
Perhaps a chicken will be a suitable avatar :D

im just kidding bud. It's a fine wager, and I'm pretty sure I'm going to lose. I'm just messing around. I do think it will be close though. Probably the closest chance sony has until end of the gen.