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PlayedOut:

You might be right.
If like you said 360 sales would have been 25% lower when GTA4 would have been PS3 exclusive you're definitely right.
I also absolutely agree with you on the figures.

The way I see it though is that PS3 and 360 are about the same console right now and GTA is mainly bought by casuals. The ones that buy Madden once every two years. A lot of those, especially in the US, would have bought a 360 anyway, for the sports titles, Forza and Halo.

I think a PS3 exclusive GTA4 would have had lots of trouble to make 10 million in sales. We'll see. If GTA4 makes 8 million on PS3 alone, I'm obviously wrong. R* agrees with me, otherwise they would have focussed on a single platform.

Sure you'll find many "geeks" online, but there's no denying that PS2 sold over 20 million in Japan, something PS3 won't come even close to this gen, and that with enough Japanese games/support PS3 would have passed the 360 already, if it had Wii's sales in Japan plus some additional in the west from "geeks".