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FromDK said:
Pavolink said:
I don't think so, but a let down can be. It will at best reach 50% of the predecessor. I guess, just by a hunch, that Nintendo at least expected to reach 100M again.


You say 100 million.. like it's noyhing..  100 mill would be insane

Ontopic:

I think 3DS is a big succes..  Everyone could see (and knew) that "smartphone gaming" would make it imposible for a dedicated handheld console.. to reach DS numbers ever again (at least like the marked is know.. if the dedicatet becomes a phone to.. or Nintendo make some special handheld for china.. it may could happen.. but not like things look now)

So I don't think we should look at last gen that much.. this is a new time.. and "touch generation" all have smartphones now.

That DS still can  reach GBA.. is insane (if you asked pather few years back)

If we look at competition.. and marked share.. 3DS is even more "dominant" than DS was

And the fat lady hasen't song yet..


Not yet, but she might be warming up if kids don't stop playing tablet/smartphone games. 

I'm in a lot of airports for flights, man the 3DS/Vita aren't even remotely competetive with tablets/phones from the families I see, every kid is playing some smartphone game, I rarely see any dedicated handhelds anymore. 6-7 years ago I'd see a good number of kids with DS', not anymore. 

Even more disturbingly (for traditional game makers I guess) is I'm starting to see more and more kids with their own tablets, as in multiple per family. The family sitting across from me in my last flight from Germany to Canada, both of the two little girls had their own tablet with a bunch of games on them.