ckmlb said: I didn't say graphics alone are going to make that difference. But it will make a difference because the gap is only going to grow as we go. In two years, the Wii is going to look a lot worse for someone looking for games because the gap will be bigger and the price of 360 and PS3 will be lower. |
Yes the price for the PS3 and xbox360 will go down, and the only chance for the Wii not to get price drops during this time is if it makes a DS and is constantly sold out. I mean if the PS3 gets 100 USD price drop before each christmas period, in 2009 it will still cost 400 USD. If the Wii gets one 100 USD price drop and it will be down at 150 USD.
I also don't think the difference between Gears and Wii Play or Sport can get that much wider whatever xbox360 or PS3 does.
ckmlb said: None of this will matter to the casual players buying Wiis now. The question is how long will casual gamers flock to buy Wiis before the control and motion stuff gets old and how many games do casual gamers buy a year compared to gamers? |
Why should the wiimote become old, when the controll pad hasn't sofar? I mean this is the same thing everybody said about the DS.
Looking at the DS in Japan we are at an attach ratio of 4, so 1-2 games a year shouldn't be impossible. BUT that doesn't mean that the Wii will stop selling does it? I mean the Brain series/NSMB/Pokemon seems to fuel the DS with out any problem, and this is my point, if the Wii can sell 30 million consols untill the end of 2008 the pure mass of consumers will most possible be able to drive the software sales. I would also like to point out that since the DS launched the level of software sales to hit the top 10 in japan has gone up, so yes it seems that the casual crowd is buying games. The thing is this Wii doesn't need an extream attach ratio if they sell much much more than PS3 and xbox360. During the slow summer months Wii is clearly selling more than PS3 + xbox360 combined in hardware. Nintendo is planing to ship 14 million Wiis this fiscal year which might give Nintendo close to 20 million Wii owners WW in march 2008, that should be enough to drive software sales.
I can agree on that the Wii might slow down in sales, but it wont be because of lack of graphics because it isn't graphics that sell a Wii today, no where is that more clear than in Japan. If the gameplay the pure fun of playing together or alone goes down then I can see that the Wii might stop selling BUT so far people seems to have fun with a game that have graphics that could be made on a PS1.
Buy it and pray to the gods of Sigs: Naznatips!
