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JustBeingReal on 06 January 2015
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theprof00 said:
JustBeingReal said:


I already answered this. A 50% increase for a slew of new exclusives, one from one of Sony's biggest franchises of last gen, an overall exclusive line-up that is widely regarded as a massively more impressive than last year's line-up, actual Japan focused releases, huge 3rd party line-up that will be in PS4's favor, the first official price cut and the Chinese release.

Yeah a 50% increase over the next 15 months is the least people should expect compared to the last 15 months.

Explain why you think it isn't happening. Can you?

Hey JBR, keep calm and listen to me.

PS4 over this year has sold 14.5m. That's a good amount, for sure, but to make 50m by march, it will need to at least double in sales. That's not 50%, that's 100% increase...it's actually more.

Please take a look at my thread here:
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=195845&page=1#
It should explain a lot of your questions. There is a lot of data, so if you're confused about any of it, please feel free to ask. Keep in mind that my 17.5m is selling during the year by about 200k+ per week. In order to make 50m...it will need 400k per week. Remember that the best a (sony) console has ever done for a full year, was ps2 and that was only 22m, when it was in its third year. The third year will also be ps4's best year, and I believe ps4 will outsell that record, just as ps4 year 2 will outsell ps2 year 2, as did ps4 year 1. But 2015 is not third year. 2016 is.

You realise I'm going by shipments from the last 15 months right?

If it shipped 20 million, then 50% growth would be another 20 million, plus 10 million, so 30 million shipped from the beginning of this year to March 2016.

100% would mean Sony would ship 40 million units over 15 months, because that would be the same level of sales as the previous period, plus the growth, which at 100% that doubles the previous years record.

 

That's what I mean by growth anyway.

The questions are for the OP, he/she just keeps saying that they don't agree, which is fair enough, but there's a distinct lack of explanation as to why they don't agree. Saying it's common sense to think their way, without actually providing any reasoning behind that isn't a logical answer, it's no answer to the question IMO.

 

If I end up being wrong then I'm wrong, but at least I'm support my opinion with reasons as to why I feel this is what will happen in 15 months time.

I think Sony will have the demand, because they have the software, because the price will drop, because there's a new market they're launching in, because they have little in the way of competition, because they can fill that demand in all areas.

The system's sold incredibly well with very little to support it and the support is becoming vastly superior over the next 15 months, so logically sales will massively increase.