MikeB said:
EaglesEye379 said:
MikeB said:
"Looking ahead, Sebastian notes that “industry sales should get a further lift from upcoming April releases Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo), GT-5: Prologue (Sony) and GTA IV (Take-Two), continuing into May/June with Wii Fit, Pokemon (Nintendo) and Metal Gear Solid 4 (Konami). We expect 5m units of GTA IV over the first two weeks post launch, with roughly a 60/40 unit split on the Xbox 360/PS3.” http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9983&Itemid=2 If so the game seems to not follow installed base ratio sales and the attach rate will be higher amongst PS3 owners. The installed base sales ratio compared to the 360 is much better for the PS3 in Europe, so total software unit sales could be close. Personally I think GTA IV (combined with the other soon available titles like MGS4 and GT Prologue for the US) will far more push PS3 install base growth and thus the PS3 version may well end up signifcantly outselling the 360 version if current trends continue and amplify around the holiday season. BTW if anyone knows, is the game planned for Japan and if so when will it be released? San Andreas performed pretty well for such a type of game for Japan. |
If it is 60/40 US (although VGChartz pre-order data is more like 65:35) and pretty much 50:50 for Europe+Others, then at current trends how is PS3 going to significantly outsell 360 version? What is your predicted ratio? I am sure there will be a Japan version, and based on current trends, we are looking at 2 months later (this is what happened for COD4). |
I was referring to install base ratio growth. More people owning a PS3 results into more people being able to play GTA IV on the PS3. Currently the PS3 is outselling the 360 in all major regions, if this holds and amplifies for the holiday season the 360 install base advantage will melt away and a higher attach rate could translate in significant more sales. I expect the gap between 360 and PS3 hardware sales to widen significantly with the release of Metal Gear Solid 4. |
OK, so if PS3 install base grows and amplifies for MGS4 etc. blabla, and the attach ratio keeps, how much more software units sales will PS3 version have over 360 version by end 2008? I am just trying to get you to put numbers behind that statement.
