Xevross on 06 January 2015
| binary solo said: I expect about 500K for W/E 27 Dec and then 250K for W/E 3 Jan. So that would put PS4 at 19 million on VGC at the same point. That makes PS4 only 500K overtracked which is not too bad. I wonder where the adjustments will come from. VGC still doesn;t have PS4 at 10 million in the week Sony said it reached 10 million, so the adjustments will be between mid-August and 20 Dec. Could that mean Xb one wins a week globally? The average weekly "adjustment" over that 19 weeks (assuming 500K over tracked) is 26K. But of course you can't just minus 26K off the PS4 total each week and be done with it. The closest week was BF week and if it gets a 40+K adjustment that will mean Xb one goes ahead that week. MCC week was also close a 60K adjustment that week would put PS4 behind Xb one. Of course we don't know whether Xb one is over or under yet, it's a waiting game. Nice to have it officially confirmed that PS4 is exactly 2 million ahead of what I predicted back in August. |
Due to the dates and numbers mentioned, we know that on week ending 22nd November PS4 was at 14.4m, VGChartz has 14.76m so it is 370k over here. Therefore, it needs to be adjusted down 370k between August 10th and 22nd November. This leaves 4.1m for the last 6 weeks of the year. Going with what VGC already has, it looks as if PS4 numbers are heading to be too high and need to be adjusted down slightly then the last 2 weeks can maeke the total to 4.1m for the holiday and 18.5m total.
