Where are console sales baselines going to settle in 2015?

[Welfare]

OfficerRaichu15 said:

wii u can outsell xbox one due to more excluisves first half of 2015

gamestop puts games up for preorder that come out at most 7 months later

going by this we have

wii u first half: mario party 10, splatoon,  kirby rainbow curse, yoshi wholly world, devils third, and mario maker

vs

xbox one's first half of no main excluisves

Exclusives won't matter, especially Wii U exclusives. MP 10, Splatoon, and Mario Maker are non factors and won't be pushing Wii U's numbers high. I don't see the Devils Third pushing HW, and Kirby/Yoshi will be selling to the consumer base the Wii U already has. So none of those will have any major sales impact.

Xbox One games for the first half of 2015 though? State of Decay, Screamride, Ori, and marketing deals for Evolve and Witcher 3. Then you have all the third party games that won't touch the Wii U, like Dragon Ball Xenoverse, Resident Evil, DMC, Final Fantasy Type 0, Battlefield, Dark Souls 2, Batman, and all the exclusive ID@Xbox games coming out.

Wii U will not outsell the One because of exclusives. Xbox One will outsell Wii U because of 3rd party support. And man, this is starting to remind me of early 2014 discussions.