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The Wii was a double edge sword and it was clear any successor was likely to underperform. Then the name was announced and the console was forever doomed. So it was up to Sony and Microsoft.

I had the Xbox doing better than it's doing now for sure. I knew the PS4 would do better than the PS3 but I supposed it'd still coming in second purely because of North America. However, I never expected Microsoft's giant misstep during their reveal (DRM and always online? Yikes!) Then that historic E3 happened, with Sony twisting the knife, and it was clear the PS4 was just going to breeze through all the way to the top.