I voted Xbox One.
Xbox One was the one with most features for the future (Motion Control, Voice Command, Family/Friend Sharing, TV-integration, Cloud Saving etc). I thought that this was MS chance to challange Apple (Apple-TV) in the North American living rooms.
I thought that people that do not hang on game forums would not care about DRM issues.
I also assumed that the only market of importance left was North America (Japan going mobile/handheld - Europe with the bad economy slowing everything down).
I did not even think E3 would have very much impact, as it is mostly hard-core gamers that have any interest in it, the people that buy FIFA, Madden, CoD, AC, GTA do not care very much for news from E3. Also the big interest for Halo in North America made me belive Xbox One would win easily.
The economic situation for Sony and MS was also leading me to assume that MS would be able to win marketshares by sheer economic strength.
The PS4 was, and still is, to me "more of the same" that we got from last generation. It brings nothing new into the equation.
Nintendo will always be quirky. The gamepad probably was a good idea when they were planning the new console a few years ago, when gaming went casual and mobile. I was hoping for it and thought they could have done a lot more with their one year head start, big war chest with money from the Wii and with their grip on the casual market.
