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With 100% being PS4 and XBox One numbers by the end of 2015, then I think PS4 can have 70% of that.
Including Wii U in the numbers I think PS4 could get close to 60% market share, but more likely it'll be at about 55%.

I think between now and the end of the year PS4 can easily sell 20 million units, with 25M being the upper limit, that's with GT7 dropping this year, a price cut down to £249/$299, some big surprise like Agent
landing at the end of the year and being exclusive to PS4.
PS Plus is probably going to get some very nice AAA games this year as a part of the IGC too, which Sony can push to move even more units.

I can see Sony having a lot of surprises to announce this year, so that will definitely help with selling the platform.