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Seece said:
zorg1000 said:
Seece said:

No.

3DS will be flat at best.


It would have to have everything go perfect to be up YoY so I agree with u, either flat or slight drop (10-15%) is what I'm guessing. New 3DS release should cause it to be up for 2-3 months and if they have some big software ready for the summer, 1-2 more months could be up. But ya total year sales likely won't be up.

Given it dropped from 3.8 to 2.5m this year, I think we could be looking at a bigger drop than 10% - 15%.

1.5m isn't out of the equation.

I personally predict around 2m tho~

Yes but like I noted, the first 9 months of the year didn't really have any real big sellers. Tomodachi is the best selling title to release in the first 3 quarters and according to this site it's under 500k in the US. Smash Bros and Pokémon were the only really big sellers to release this year and both released in the last quarter.

New 3DS is bound to cause a couple months to be up YoY and depending on what software they release and when, we could see certain other months be up.

2013 had 11 games release that sold over 250k with 4 of them selling over 1 million, 2014 has had 6 250k sellers with only 2 selling over 1 million. So lack of big selling software definitely contributed to this year's big decline. If 2014 had software releases on par with 2013 then the decline could have very well been less.

If next year can keep up with this year in terms of big releases plus New 3DS releasing, a smaller drop is very likely.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.