prediction: 3DS will outsell PSVita by 10:1 in the US (lifetime)

[Seece]

Ryng_Tolu said:

Seece said:

No.

2011: 4.08m
2012: 3.65m
2013: 3.83m
2014: 2.6m~

3DS has peaked in the US and a new handheld will be with us in a matter of 2~ years.

3DS will be lucky to hit 20m.

Why and how exactly did you come to the conclusion it could outsell it 10:1?

Will be 6:1/7:1.

Don't think that next year 3DS will have a big dropped, i'm sure that it will sell equal or close the 2014 number in 2015, or close in worst scenario thanks the new version.

I see 3DS to sell 21,000,000 to 23,000,000 lifetime in USA.

 

PSvita have sold less than 2,000,000, 32K in November NPD, Sony will discontinue PSVita soon, and i don't think that it will break 2,300,000.

You predict 20,000,000 3DS lifetime, and 6:1 / 7:1 , so, you Vita prediction is 2,900,000 to 3,300,000?

PSVita at 2.4m lifetime (It IS at 2m).

New 3DS will do nothing, just like it has in Japan (which is far more receptive to that sort of thing.)

2015 will see about 2m - 2.4m 3DS and then it'll continue to rapidly drop. I don't know where you get this notion Nintendo hardware has good legs. It doesn't, even wildly successful systems like DS and Wii.

2015: 2.2m~
2016: 1.4m
2017 and beyond less than 1m (successor destroys sales like 3DS did to DS).

3DS will finish around 18m. so yeah, maybe 8:1 max.