Will Sony and MS have the courage to compete with Nintendo in 2016?

[binary solo]

padib said:

binary solo said:
Nintendo has firmly stuck itself in the past with its home consoles, if it releases a $299 platform in 2016 the console will be a hair more powerful than PS4bone, and it will be when PS4bone has a large install base, with an increasingly awesome game library. And in 2018/19 when Sony and MS release their next console the power difference will be like Wii vs PS360.

Gamers aren't going to flock to that console, just like they haven't flocked to any Nintendo console since N64, which means Nintendo would be once again trying to appeal to the vanishing casual audience, and of course the core Nintendo fanbase.

2016 is about right for Nintendo though. Their console cycles these last few generations are only good for 4 or 5 years, and since Wii U is looking to be the worst performer ever for Nintendo then a 4 year lifespan is probably right. It will be interesting to see how things go for Nintendo becoming more out of sync with the home console cycle. The one good thing about going AMD and being of similar power to PS4bone is it will be cheap as for 3rd parties to put their games on Nintendo which could be the main advantage to releasing a new console in 2016. at least until the next PS and Xb console comes.

It is not Nintendo that is stuck in the past, it is your thinking in the first two paragraphs, please let me explain why.

The next console we both foresee releasing in 2016 will neither be a handheld or a home console in the traditional sense of the term. It will simply be a first of many Nintendo "brother" devices which will all run largely the same software. So for Nintendo the arms race in hardware is over. They are gearing up to take it over with software. One, beefed-up, unified software library. They make the games on one console, they are playable on all. So your analysis based on "home console" or "handheld console" is just ineffective because it is based on a soon to be outdated paradigm.

@KLXVER. Just think ipad and iphone and it solves all your questions.

@Cheebee. Sweet. Given we're on the same page, how do you think Sony and MS will react?

Well if they stop selling home consoles and just sell a handheld that plugs into your Tv and can pair with a wireless controllers etc then they might be onto something.