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binary solo said:

Ghosts total sales all platforms = 24.3 million (VGC retail only)

AW total sales all platforms = 11.44M (VGC retail only)

You tell me if AW is going to sell another 13 million over the next year?

Also CoD ghosts equal time on market (4 weeks to date) 4 platform LTD was 11.9M last gen consoles + 1.9M new gen consoles = 13.8 million. So AW retail sales is nearly 2 million behind what Ghosts was in a launch aligned comparison.

It's obvious there has been a large transfer from last gen to this gen. But the total is down.

You are right in everything you said. But that's not what I'm pointing out. Ghosts is FAR ahead of AW overall, yes, and AW will not sell as much as Ghosts because CoD is in decline. The reason for this is the major decline of hardware sold per year for 7th gen. Ghosts sold 18 million on 7th gen, AW has only sold 4.65 on 7th gen hardware and won't reach half of what Ghosts did. 7th gen hardware is where the decline is coming from. 8th gen however you can see AW has already outsold ghosts by more than 2 million and should finish about 70% ahead of Ghosts PS4/XOne. Like you said, Ghosts by this time had only sold 1.9 million on 8th gen whereas AW has already sold 6.6 million. That's an increase of over 300%. But we know percentages can be misleading so I'm not holding the 300% to a high standard I'm just pointing out how much faster AW has sold than Ghosts on 8th gen.

Edit --- Also maybe in 2015 we will see CoD's 8th gen sales compensate for 7th gen sales of CoD and outsell AW overall since AW won't sell more than 7 million on 7th gen consoles but I think that may be pushing it a bit. CoD 2015 would have to sell about 15 million on 8th gen in order to do that but we'll see.