Baselines 2015?

[Mummelmann]

RubberWhistleHistle said:

Ka-pi96 said:

RubberWhistleHistle said:
i didnt think baseline meant the absolute worst it would sell in a given week. i figure if a console sells, say, 40k in a week, where it sold 50k every week prior to that and then sold 50k every week after that, its baseline isnt 40k anymore. a console can dip like that for a number of reasons. baseline is kind of like the average of the worst weeks a console can have, not the worst it can sell in a given week. that sounds reasonable to me.

That's how I would define baseline as well

seems like a lot of people think wii u's baseline this year was 28k because that was its lowest week.. i dont understand that reasoning.

Feel free to provide links to "a lot of people" who believe the Wii U's actual baseline has been 28k for 2014. As far as I know, I'm the only who mentioned that number and nowhere does it say that I think that this was ever the baseline.

I myself mentioned that number but I know perfectly well what an actual baseline is; I was merely operating within the conditions and premises set by the OP (as he clearly states that he wants numbers for possible worst low weeks and not actual baselines) and pointing out that some of the figures seemed off, and can fairly assume that the other replies are based on the same premise given by the OP. Considering that these are the lowest possible weeks the OP suggests, that would entail that average weeks through the year would be even higher, making the numbers even more unlikely. If anything, you should be correcting the OP, who is making, by far, the most faulty assumptions of all.

PS: I predicted a max baseline for the Wii U of 45k for Q1, Q2 and Q3 average and I'm off by about 1.2k (actual is around 46.2 or so) before 2014 adjustments post-holiday.