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I would say no, but I have reset my total sales expectations for the Wii U several times

Pre-Launch = 50 million
Mid 2013 = 40 million
Early 2014 = 30 million
Now = 20 million

Much of this depends on how low Nintendo can get the price down. I think at sub $200 it can find a second wind as a solid secondary console for many folks. If not, then may have to adjust down to 15 million for total sales.