Arkaign said:
Pretty much this. However, things are actually kind of bad for the X1 when you think about it. Remember the $399 Diskinect in June? Sales were good for a brief period, then plummeted steeply. The first month sales will inevitably contain a bunch of people moved up in a bubble to grab the deals as announced to be temporary ($329, extra games added in, gift cards, etc). When the bubble is over, a new baseline can be assessed. Assuming $349 stays, with occassional single-game pack-ins (but without multi-game giveaways, gift cards, etc), I think X1 falls back behind PS4 for most of 2015 month by month. When Sony drops the price to $349 or $299 there will be no contest. And looking at pricing historically, I don't think Microsoft will be willing to eat $249 or less for a long time yet, which is what it would take to beat PS4 @ $299. I'm predicting Sony does nothing at all for December, and loses by ~150k-200k for that month, Microsoft keeps the $349 price (but without game most of the time) going into 2015, Sony keeps $399 all the way to E3, then goes big with perhaps $299, skipping $349 entirely. Microsoft will follow suit in the fall, and battle the $299 with more bundles than Sony does, for a close holiday 2015. |
I know right? I mean I'm guessing PS3 won in September 2009 when the slim and pricecut came out. It didn't establish a new trend.
