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vivster said:

I've seen this a lot in the recent week. While it's pretty much clear that X1 has November NPD in the bag, people are already pretty much assuming that PS4 will definitely win December NPD. On what basis exactly? What changes in December as opposed to November? X1 is currently in beast mode and I don't see a reason why that would suddenly turn into favor for PS4.

The ACU bundle is still widely available, on Amazon it even got back to its BF price of $329 where it is currentl selling like hotcakes. On PS4 side we have both BF bundles out of stock everywhere, the Destiny only for its old price above $400. The only thing that's available is the Vanilla PS4 for standard price.

Sure that situation may change but for that Sony has to ship a whole bunch of units while MS's supply chain has to break. But even if Sony manages to ship more, the X1 still has the ability to outsell it either way, like we've seen throughout November.

 

The only hope I'm seeing here for Sony to win December NPD is huge shipments, more deals and big revelations at PSX.

Based on the fact, the 399$ Bundles would be still availabe at every major retailer for the whole December
But it seems like the bundles are very limeted and only for black friday. And in that case the Ps4 has zero chance to win against the 349$ Xb1 bundle

In general every console, that wins November NPD also win December. I don't remeber any month were that not happend.
So yes, the chances are very very low