ioi said:
[...] Finally, past trends. There's no reason why Xbox One and PS4 shouldn't follow broadly similar trends to Xbox 360 and PS3. So if we typically see a 3x lift on Black Friday week vs an average of the 4 weeks before then the same should be true in this case. This provides another estimate to throw into the mix or at the very least a sanity check. Some products always see bigger holiday lifts than others - Xbox a little more than Playstation, Nintendo more than everyone else, kids games more than adult-themed games and so on - patterns are clear to see when you examine data as much as we do and you have to sometimes make assumptions that those same patterns will continue to hold this year. All-in-all, estimating sales is a complex process and we always do the best we can with the data we have. |
Glad to hear this form the guy, who make up the number.
I always said this, when it comes to the question about holiday sales and if Xb1 will be stronger than Ps4, or if the Ps4 can keep up the pace of the Wii
Yes, the Ps4 is now the leading gameing console and even better selling in US. It could in the holiday quarter in the US, too. But that does not automatically mean a bigger holiday bump percentage wiese for the console itself. If ur baseline and overall sales for the year ar high that's a great thing. But the percentage bump for the holiday quarter will probably still be the same or maybe even lower, because of ur unusual strong rest of the year sales. The Ps4 is still a Playstation console if we look at sales behaviour, right? And so is the Xb1 and Xbox and the WiiU a Nintendo one.
The Xb1 is still the dude bro shooter console. High attachrates for few games, while the Ps4 has good attachrates for more games. CoD and Halo titel still come out in November and will push hardware. And form MS itself we know they focus mainly on the holiday season.
After all that u get shipment number form the big three, to double check ur data
