ioi's preliminary Black Friday week estimates (W.E 29th Nov)

[GTAexpert]

ioi said:

benji232 said:
Poor performance for wiiU. It's merely up 40% over last year's already very low number. I was expecting a much better black friday this year with Smash bros and MK8 but oh well.

As I say, these are only early numbers and I'm being quite conservative on Nintendo stuff with our scaling factors this year as we were quite high over the holidays in 2013.

Some sources (if their patterns held true across others) could put Wii U closer to 300k and 3DS closer to 400-500k so we will see. As I say, Black Friday is by far the hardest week of the year to estimate for as each data source is showing totally different sales patterns and you need a view of all them all to get the full picture. The more data that comes in the more we can refine until we arrive at a final estimate.

I'd like to know whch retailers you base your estimates on and if it includes online retailers as well.

It would also be nice to know if past trends have any effect on your predictions and if so what are the past trends on which you base your PS4 and XB1 sales on (as there is nothing to compare it to directly since its their first true BF week).