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Ninsect said:

I think Sony will announce "over 17m sold" at Playstation Experience (December 6)

They will announce it as of a day earlier in December (like Dec 2 or 3). 

Do you think this is possible or am I a complete madman?

This would imply 21m+ or so before 2015

Someone said in another thread that you should take the highest predicted number and add 1 million to it.

So I am going to test this theory and say that the PS4 will sell a ton of bundurus for Sony to announce 18 million sold by Dec 6th.