Off hand, I want to say that I don't see a problem with the 11m figure, but that's not really based upon anything other than the current boost the XBO is seeing as a result of the temporary sales.
MS did throw out the 10m figure; not with respect to number sold through, nor did the statement explicitly quote "we shipped 10m to retail" so I took that to mean MS would report sales of at least 10m on their next quarterly report.
I would expect the current boost to last until the end of the sale, specifically because it is a seasonal sale that consumers will want to take advantage of, so there is no reason to suspect the boost will be front loaded in any way.
I am kind of curious as to what effect the end of the sale will have on XBO sales in January though as it could dictate how soon a permanent price drop will take effect.
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